Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018408 0.019855 0.021361 0.023047 0.024883 0.026822 0.029027
2025-10-26 0.015917 0.017983 0.020245 0.022913 0.025978 0.029396 0.033508
2025-11-02 0.014313 0.016734 0.019490 0.022867 0.026909 0.031609 0.037513
2025-11-09 0.012935 0.015543 0.018601 0.022470 0.027256 0.033013 0.040507
2025-11-16 0.011832 0.014551 0.017822 0.022072 0.027482 0.034184 0.043183
2025-11-23 0.011064 0.013888 0.017367 0.021998 0.028045 0.035739 0.046369
2025-11-30 0.010363 0.013252 0.016883 0.021822 0.028424 0.037030 0.049233
2025-12-07 0.009777 0.012715 0.016479 0.021703 0.028839 0.038352 0.052174
2025-12-14 0.009235 0.012198 0.016061 0.021522 0.029132 0.039495 0.054898
2025-12-21 0.008834 0.011843 0.015830 0.021569 0.029722 0.041050 0.058265
2025-12-28 0.008415 0.011435 0.015502 0.021451 0.030055 0.042240 0.061147
2026-01-04 0.008064 0.011103 0.015254 0.021424 0.030504 0.043601 0.064335
2026-01-11 0.007722 0.010778 0.015018 0.021427 0.031033 0.045162 0.068018
2026-01-18 0.007388 0.010450 0.014764 0.021391 0.031504 0.046667 0.071725
2026-01-25 0.007084 0.010148 0.014529 0.021364 0.031976 0.048188 0.075539
2026-02-01 0.006709 0.009723 0.014088 0.020998 0.031897 0.048835 0.077961
2026-02-08 0.006362 0.009322 0.013663 0.020629 0.031786 0.049410 0.080280
2026-02-15 0.006118 0.009065 0.013441 0.020561 0.032140 0.050741 0.083940
2026-02-22 0.005867 0.008785 0.013169 0.020397 0.032326 0.051794 0.087175
2026-03-01 0.005647 0.008540 0.012940 0.020287 0.032587 0.052979 0.090701
2026-03-08 0.005426 0.008287 0.012685 0.020119 0.032737 0.053973 0.093937
2026-03-15 0.005267 0.008123 0.012563 0.020163 0.033244 0.055600 0.098419
2026-03-22 0.005084 0.007912 0.012357 0.020053 0.033476 0.056752 0.102081